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The book 'Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction' does not provide specific examples of companies that have successfully implemented the piano-tuning forecasting method. However, the method itself is a metaphor for how forecasting can be done in any field by breaking down a large problem into smaller, more manageable parts and making educated estimates. This approach is widely used in various industries, including finance, supply chain management, and operations research.
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Therefore, if 50,000 pianos need tuning once per year, and it takes two hours to tune one piano, that comes out to 100,000 total piano-tuning hours. If you divide that by the annual hours worked by one piano tuner, it comes out to 62.5 piano tuners in Chicago. Levitin found 83 listings for piano tuners in Chicago, but many of them were duplicates, such as businesses with more than one phone number. So, an accurate number is not known, but Levitin's calculation shows how close you can get.
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Did you know it's possible to make accurate predictions about the future without psychic powers? Given the right practice and strategies to explore, y...
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