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Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction presents several surprising insights about making accurate predictions. One of the key insights is that accurate forecasting doesn't require psychic powers or special abilities. Instead, it's about using the right strategies and practices. The book emphasizes the importance of critical thinking, constantly updating your beliefs based on new information, and being aware of cognitive biases. It also highlights that anyone can become a super forecaster with the right training and mindset.
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Most people immediately think, $0.10. If you think about it more carefully, you find that this answer is incorrect. Our brains automatically latch on to the "dollar" and not the "more." If the ball costs $0.10 and the bat costs a dollar more ($1.10), then the total cost will be $1.20. Therefore, the correct answer is $0.05.
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Did you know it's possible to make accurate predictions about the future without psychic powers? Given the right practice and strategies to explore, y...
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