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1. Practice makes perfect: Regularly make predictions and track their accuracy to improve your forecasting skills.
2. Stay informed: Keep up-to-date with a wide range of information sources to make informed predictions.
3. Break down complex problems: Large, complex problems can often be broken down into smaller, more manageable parts. This can make forecasting easier and more accurate.
4. Be open to changing your mind: Good forecasters are willing to change their predictions as new information becomes available.
5. Understand the limitations of forecasting: Even the best forecasters can't predict everything. It's important to understand the limitations of forecasting and not to rely on it too heavily.
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While this is certainly the case in many automated industries, there is a reason that computers and robots are still overseen by humans. The authors spoke to Watson's chief engineer, David Ferrucci, who has worked in artificial intelligence for over 30 years. Computers are better able to spot patterns these days, he noted, but machine learning requires the presence of humans to feed the learning process. As of right now, a computer can look up a fact, but a forecast requires an informed guess based on a myriad of information.
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Did you know it's possible to make accurate predictions about the future without psychic powers? Given the right practice and strategies to explore, y...
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