One can develop the capacity for self-critical thinking required for super forecasting by treating beliefs as hypotheses to be tested, not treasures to be guarded. It's important to be super open-minded and precise when making predictions. Unpacking the question into components, distinguishing known and unknown parts, and putting the problem into a comparative perspective that downplays the situation's uniqueness can also help. It's also crucial to adjust views in light of new information as often as necessary.
Did you know it's possible to make accurate predictions about the future without psychic powers? Giv...
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