Super forecasting can be applied to any situation by following a few key steps. First, unpack the question or problem into its components, distinguishing between what you know and what you don't. Then, put the problem into a comparative perspective, downplaying its uniqueness. Look at factors that emphasize the situation's uniqueness and synchronize your findings to make as precise a judgement as you can. It's important to adjust your views as often as necessary in light of new information. Remember, for super forecasters, beliefs are hypotheses to be tested, not treasures to be guarded. Be super open-minded and when making a prediction, be as precise as possible.
Did you know it's possible to make accurate predictions about the future without psychic powers? Giv...
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