The ability to crunch numbers contributes to super forecasting by providing a basis for analysis and prediction. However, it's not just about the ability to crunch numbers, but what you do with it that matters most. Super forecasters use this ability to unpack the question into components, distinguish which parts they know and which ones they don't, and put the problem into a comparative perspective. They then use these findings to make as precise a judgement as they can. They also adjust their views in light of new information as often as necessary.
Did you know it's possible to make accurate predictions about the future without psychic powers? Giv...
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