Some common misconceptions about investment decisions include the belief that personal experiences and early adulthood experiences heavily influence investment decisions. Another misconception is that success and failure are solely determined by hard work and good decisions, discounting the roles of luck and risk. For instance, some of Bill Gates' success can be attributed to his unique opportunity of going to a high school with a computer, which was a rare chance in the '60s.
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Someone's personal experiences make up only a small portion of what happens, but it makes up most of how that person thinks the world works. In theory, financial decisions should be driven by an investor's goals and the characteristics of investment options available to them. Economists from the National Bureau of Economic Research found that instead, investment decisions are anchored by early adulthood experiences. They found that investors tend to weigh more heavily the experience of the economy when they were young than what the economy is like now. Both luck and risk are often the factors that determine success and failure. Because they are hard to measure, they are often discounted. Some of Bill Gate's success can be attributed to hard work and good decisions. Some of it can also be attributed to his going to a high school with a computer. This was a roughly 1 in 1 million chance in the '60s. To account for risk and luck in decisions, an investor should: 1) Avoid idolization of s...
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