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The key steps in preparing for black swan events include: firstly, conducting a Reality Test to deeply understand your present state. Secondly, Organizing Your Forces to model the forces that keep your current system stable. Thirdly, Generating Your Futures through simulations to identify potential opportunities and threats. Fourthly, Uncoupling Opportunities from Threats to identify where and how to intervene. Lastly, Experimenting, where you build an experiments portfolio to maximize your odds of success.
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How do you prepare your business for black swan events like pandemics or financial crises? Rogue Waves by Jonathan Brill explores how to prepare for a...
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The first step is the Reality Test, used to deeply understand your present state. The Organize Your Forces step helps you model the forces that keep your current system stable. Step three is to Generate Your Futures through simulations to identify potential opportunities and threats. Step four is Uncouple Opportunities from Threats to identify where and how to intervene. The fifth step is Experiment, where you build an experiments portfolio to maximize your odds of success
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