In super forecasting, beliefs play a crucial role as they are considered as hypotheses to be tested, not treasures to be guarded. Super forecasters are super open-minded and they adjust their views in light of new information as often as necessary. They unpack the question into components, distinguish which parts they know and which ones they don't, and then put the problem into a comparative perspective that downplays the situation's uniqueness.
Did you know it's possible to make accurate predictions about the future without psychic powers? Giv...
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