Self-critical thinking plays a significant role in super forecasting. It allows forecasters to test their beliefs rather than guarding them as treasures. This mindset encourages them to be super open-minded and to adjust their views as often as necessary in light of new information. It also helps them to unpack the question into components, distinguish known and unknown parts, and put the problem into a comparative perspective that downplays the situation's uniqueness.
Did you know it's possible to make accurate predictions about the future without psychic powers? Giv...
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