Can you elaborate on the concept of "believability-weighted decisions" as explained in Ray Dalio's "Principles"?

Believability-weighted decision-making is a concept introduced by Ray Dalio in his book "Principles". It's a method of decision-making where the opinions of more credible or "believable" people are given more weight. It's not about the number of people who agree with a decision, but the quality, experience, and track record of those people. The idea is to find the most believable people who disagree with an idea and try to understand their reasoning. This approach encourages humility and increases the chances of making the right decision.

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To guide the best decision-making, find the most believable people who disagrees with an idea and try to understand their thinking. Pay less attention to a person's conclusion and more to the reasoning that led to it. In addition to encouraging humility, believability-weighted decisions increase the chances of being right.

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Principles

How did Ray Dalio, the child of an ordinary medium-class family create the world’s largest, and most successful hedge fund, currently managing over $1...

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