The expectations for emerging markets in the second half of 2022 are generally positive. Many experts believe that emerging markets will become more attractive to investors and businesses once global inflation peaks and the US Federal Reserve tightens its policies. This is because these factors are expected to drive up interest rates, which can make investments in emerging markets more profitable. However, these predictions are subject to various global factors, including the ongoing recovery from the pandemic and reforms in markets like China.
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Conversely, 2021 has ended poorly for emerging markets. Barrons reported that the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF lost 12% of its value since July 1st. This is judged against the S&P 500 which gained 9%. This is largely due to global inflation that drives up interest rates, off and on pandemic recoveries, and reform across markets like China. However, the second half of 2022 is seen by many as advantageous to emerging markets once inflation peaks and the US Federal Reserve tightens. Emerging markets will then become more attractive to investors and businesses. Therefore, emerging markets are a hot topic to consider in your presentations and growth strategies for the second half of 2022. (Slide 8)