Question
The main components of Shell's Scenario Planning include the creation of different scenarios that explore possible ways the future could unfold. These scenarios are based on various factors such as potential energy sources and actions to limit carbon dioxide emissions. For example, in 2013, Shell published scenarios that explored the possibility of natural gas becoming the most important energy source globally by the 2030s and early action to limit carbon dioxide emissions. Another scenario saw solar energy becoming the top source by about 2070, but with slower action to address the threat of climate change.
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Shell's Scenarios team periodically releases publicly-accessible scenarios. Thus, for example, in 2013, Shell published new scenarios that explored two possible ways the 21st century could unfold, with dramatically different implications for society and the world's energy system. "One scenario sees cleaner-burning natural gas becoming the most important energy source globally by the 2030s and early action to limit carbon dioxide emissions. The other sees solar becoming the top source by about 2070, but with slower action to address the threat of climate change," Shell's website states.
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